Marek Strandberg - Is it possible to replace carbon-based energy with renewable energy?

About reality, singularity and one's own world

Although machines are thinking faster and faster, instead of technological singularity, we are more likely to face the collapse of the natural environment. Life will not disappear from Earth, but the diversity of multicellular organisms will suffer unprecedented damage. We can think that we can compare the state of today's ecosystem with a television broadcasting long-wave radiation - we would like to fist in the corner of the inner nature to restore its functionality, but with such simplified analogies we will get nowhere. Money and power and knowledge and wisdom from different poles seem to meet only overcoming major barriers. It may also be the case that we will achieve bureaucratic singularity when Kim Jong-uns seize legislative and executive bodies that are riddled with experts. But what's behind the rustle?

Combining dimensions gives us better awareness. Instead of just looking at the moment, we need to delve into long-term trajectories. Archimedes was already realizing the priority of trajectories over momentary vibrations in ancient Greece, but his parchments were washed away by religious dogmatism. Da Vinci portrayed the movement of water as a straightened trajectory, and as a modern scientific excellence of CERN's nuclear accelerator, it is mainly a trajectory. When you notice trajectories, the image goes into place without using a fist.

We do not understand the world of other species (umwelt). Understanding the world absorbs a tremendous amount of effort. Mankind has lived in a minority for hundreds of thousands of years compared to other species, but now we have defined and embraced world governance. Humans consume 20 acres of energy from all sorts of resources - similar power is contained in the Earth's core. In 200-300 million years, the Earth's core has irreversibly changed the Earth's surface at this capacity. Man is naive to think that 20 acres in the Earth's crust does not have a similar effect on 20 acres in the Earth's core.

Do we have hope for rapid change? As the ways of slow change have been calculated and they have failed, we need a sudden change.

Global climate change

The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased exponentially over the last few hundred years. Of the 320 parts per million spoken in the 1970s, 60 parts per million have been added over the last 50 years. According to the researchers, the steady decline in oxygen levels is due to the fact that the carbon sequestration capacity has decreased. We are not just catching fish out of the sea, we are fishing for food for other species. We have made a great effort in designing and building ships, the complexity of which we awkwardly expect from birds and aquatic animals. However, the ecosystem operates according to its own rules.

In addition to the carbon dioxide content, the level of methane in the atmosphere also increases. The drying up of the Aral Sea due to over-irrigation of the fields is an example for us. Last summer, in the dry city of Yakutsk in Siberia, the Leena River was removed as a result of the melting of an unprecedented permafrost.

Water vapor does not cause us existential fear, because it is the only gas whose all phase transitions take place within our temperature scale: it evaporates, condenses, freezes and melts.

Antarctic research has given us the most adequate picture of the state of the climate. Polar scientist Alfred Wegener laid the foundations for both the theory of llama movement and the idea that the answers to our questions about the history of climate could be hidden in the ice. Today, the Russian administration includes the Vostok station and the Italian station Dome-C, from which we have collected 800 thousand years of climate history. There are eight ice periods left in this period. Knowledge of fluctuations in ice and breaks reached us in the 1970s. In the same decade, the energy giant ExxonMobile had a study of the future if oil use continued on the same basis. On April 1, 1982, the company's board reviewed the results of the study. In the autumn of the same year, the company's management and owners agreed to hide the results under the rug. ExxonMobile also paid well-known researchers to refute or deny the results of the study. To reassure the public, rhetoric about the coming ice age was introduced. However, to date, we do not have specific knowledge of the conditions that facilitate or inhibit the advent of the ice age. ExxonMobile's bluff is over today.

As the person responsible for climate change, reference has also been made to the activities of the Sun. The cycle of Serbian geophysicist Milutin Milankovic states that the temperature on the inanimate Earth would be 30c° points colder. As humanity, we make up a small part of the distribution of the carbon mass of living matter, but our tribe has had and will continue to have the greatest power over the entire system.

We have reached climate chaos, or unpredictable variability.

Traditional agriculture is on the verge of collapse.

We live in antiquity in terms of both energy consumption and agriculture.

Energy trays

It is difficult to comprehend the full volume of energy bins. One car with an average internal combustion engine drives energy per hectare from a rapeseed field throughout the year, five cars of the same category would drive energy per hectare from an oil palm plantation during the year; under a hectare covered with solar panels, the number of cars rises to 30 under the same conditions. By establishing a Hiiumaa-sized solar panel field in Estonia, we would manifest our energy independence only with the help of solar energy falling on us. By extending the idea of energy independence to the whole world, we should extend the area of Hiiumaa to a territory that is smaller than the current total territory of all cities in the world.

The balance sheet of all carbon-related companies, or global energy businesses, is worth five to six trillion dollars. Annual growth in all countries on the globe is about $ 80 trillion. A quick and effective solution would be a total ban on the entire current energy industry. The Marshall Plan from 1948 to 1951 proved to us that vigorous intervention in the economy would bear fruit. At the Bretton-Woods Conference in 1944, John Maynard Keynes and Harry Dexter White proved that no one wants a situation where money arbitrariness (as in the case of John D. Rockefeller) can demonstrate its power in the post-war world. Keynes and White offered a solution to restructure banking in order to avoid Rockefeller cases in the future.

Decarbonisation plan

The European Central Bank prints money for long-term targeted refinancing operations. Money printing could provide an opportunity for current companies to get a loan to replace technologies. Redefining the content of money changes human behavior. Countries have discussed climate policy without involving central and commercial banks and companies. As change is based on a fundamental change in technology, it is not possible to do without those who define return on capital requirements.

The last 30 years have been a climate war with few arguments in the fight.

We must abandon the dreams of Exxon and others to make money in Rockefeller's sense and offer them the opportunity to make a technological breakthrough. We must not be punished, we must simply restructure. Pack money on the street corner to say close your store and make a new kind of store. We need to step out of the carbon cycle as a civilization, not in pieces. Capital needs to be restructured without collapsing the economy. Agreements are psychologically very important for a person. We must not end up in a situation where people feel psychologically vulnerable. Capitalists need to be given money so that they do not feel threatened.

Entrepreneurs controlled by companies that have caused climate chaos should not be penalized for their entrepreneurship or greed. They should be offered support to replace their technology systems. Investment banks must express their unwillingness to invest in carbon-based energy production in the future. Investment bankers need to be told a story. We have to tell a story that leads from the rumble of television to the rescue of the world.